Associate Professor, Aquatic & Fishery Sciences
mantua@u.washington.edu

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large-scale climate variability/predictability, climate impacts on human activities and ecosystems

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Research

My current research is focused on the causes for and consequences of climate variations, and interactions between humans and the environment. I have a strong interest in documenting and understanding climate impacts on ecosystems and society, and in applying knowledge gained from research to resource management problems. I am also interested in diagnosing and understanding the links between large-scale natural and human-caused changes in climate and regional to local scale changes in aquatic ecosystem habitat and function, and how these cross-scale interactions affect local/regional ecosystem dynamics and predictability.

My current research projects include:

1. modeling studies of the North Pacific salmon ecosystem to support conservation planning
2. climate impacts on Puget Sound oceanography, and environmental influences on Puget Sound Harmful Algal Blooms
3. climate impacts on the fish, forests, water, and coasts of the Pacific Northwest (see http://www.cses.washington.edu/cig)
4. Developing quantitative tools to forecast the effects of climate variability on the population dynamics of Pacific salmon, with a focus on Columbia River populations

My approach to research generally involves statistical analyses of historic environmental and ecological data sets, and the development of biophysical models that can be used to investigate system dynamics and predictability. Because of the interdisciplinary nature of my reserach interests, I strongly support collaborations between physical, biological, and social scientists, as well as interactions between academics, resource management agencies, and others with direct interactions with the natural systems being studied.